I believe the electronics industry and its processes will actually evolve very radically in step with the advancements made in nanotechnology. It will change from an electromechanical process to one that is primarily based on chemical processes, with little or no assembly or soldering involved. While not exactly Joe Fjelstad's Occam process, I could certainly envision something similar from a chemical buildup standpoint. -----Original Message----- From: TechNet [mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of Larry Dzaugis Sent: Tuesday, January 17, 2012 11:41 AM To: [log in to unmask] Subject: Re: [TN] What is the future of electronics assembly? The only certainty is that 10 years from now the products will be smaller, cheaper, faster time to market. Moore's law will be near its end (predicted every 5 years for the last 20), its held up well for being an empirically determined model. I/O will increase and with higher integration levels of components, more embedded software, test will continue to require heroic efforts to launch new products. Legacy products and processes will still be important. I lived in a town with 2 whip factories, its down to one very successful buggy whip factory now. Where will bleeding edge products be developed? That is changing as production moves and talent ages. Young turks in growing locations coming up with new ideas and gaining the experience to execute them and old farts in flat growth areas slowing leaving the business. None of us predicted that 30 years ago China would be the workshop to the world today.That will change little in 10 years, it could change radically in 20 years. I do not see a game changing assembly technology like the introduction of vision in SMT equipment 20 years ago.I see faster processors allowing higher precision and faster speeds and more areas where vision can be cost effectively applied, x-ray price /performance continues to improve. On 1/17/12, Matthias Mansfeld <[log in to unmask]> wrote: > On 17 Jan 2012 at 9:37, David D. Hillman wrote: > >> And to reinforce Mike's sage words, I was told "............. the wave >> soldering process is a dinosaur and will be extinct in a few >> years"............... this wisdom was given to me in 1988! > > "... the printed circuit board will be extinct in a few years"... > (even some more years ago....) :-))) > > Best regardsMatthias Mansfeld > > -- > Matthias Mansfeld Elektronik > * Printed Circuit Board Design and Assembly > Neithardtstr. 3, D-85540 Haar, GERMANY > Phone: +49-89-4620 0937, Fax: +49-89-4620 0938 > E-Mail: [log in to unmask] > Internet: http://www.mansfeld-elektronik.de > > > ______________________________________________________________________ > This email has been scanned by the Symantec Email Security.cloud service. > For more information please contact helpdesk at x2960 or [log in to unmask] > ______________________________________________________________________ > > --------------------------------------------------- > Technet Mail List provided as a service by IPC using LISTSERV 16.0 > To unsubscribe, send a message to [log in to unmask] with following text in > the BODY (NOT the subject field): SIGNOFF Technet > To temporarily halt or (re-start) delivery of Technet send e-mail to > [log in to unmask]: SET Technet NOMAIL or (MAIL) > To receive ONE mailing per day of all the posts: send e-mail to > [log in to unmask]: SET Technet Digest > Search the archives of previous posts at: http://listserv.ipc.org/archives > For additional information, or contact Keach Sasamori at [log in to unmask] or > 847-615-7100 ext.2815 > ----------------------------------------------------- > ______________________________________________________________________ This email has been scanned by the Symantec Email Security.cloud service. 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