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Subject:	Subj: [TN] Obsolescence Risk
From:	"Hollandsworth, Ron" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:	TechNet E-Mail Forum.
Date:	Mon, 6 Dec 1999 08:41:56 -0500
Content-Type:	text/plain
Parts/Attachments:	text/plain (42 lines)

Good Morning TechNet!
I am looking for some opinions from you folks, who, like me, must keep up on
technology now and in the future.  Many are already using some of the newer
technologies now in order to "get small".

What are your prognostications concerning the future of 1206 and 0805
components versus that of the 0603, 0402, & I guess I will include 0201s?
Do you think the cost chart lines for the two groups will cross each other
in the near future?  By that comment I am referring to the cost of 1206s and
0805s going up because of obsolescence/supply versus the cost of the second
group starting to drop due to a new demand for higher quantities?

Many are looking for smaller, lighter, faster, and less cost, yet with
greater power and capability.  Let's put a time frame of say 2000-2004.
This is a lot for a Monday morning so watch for overloads.  I had to hit the
reset button a couple times already.

If you want to throw some bonus info into the fracas like future of QFPs,
SOT's, and the like versus micro-BGAs, etc., just go right ahead.

This will have an affect and effect on designs for upcoming products and in
some cases could affect the cost of existing designs.  Some customers may
not want to change size, shape, and functionality of their products,
however, the OEM/Contractors, may have to make changes due to component
availability.  You all see where I am trying to go with this/these issues?

Ron Hollandsworth

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