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June 2013

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Subject:
From:
Inge Hernefjord <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
TechNet E-Mail Forum <[log in to unmask]>, Inge Hernefjord <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Wed, 5 Jun 2013 22:09:21 +0200
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Up and then, frustrated members mention about the chinese taking the jobs
from americans. I don't know when exactly the pendulum will swing back, but
that will happen. The chinese stampede will end in disaster. Several
hundred millions chinese want same standard as have their lucky neighbours,
the rich and the prosperous middle class in the chinese cities. And the
government wants an economy development level at 5-7 % year after year.
Imagine what that means. You need not be PhD or economy expert nor a
environment expert to see what will happen:
.- fresh water will not be available for all
-  the ground water will fade
-  they will need  build thousands of waste water cleaning stations within
a few years
- Thousands of new industries will be built, but who will buy the enormous
lots of products
- the air will be so polluted that those with money will move
- they will have not one Pittsburg but lots of
- they forget, in the enormous building of new cities, that everything that
was built the last twenty years must be maintained and repaired next decade
or so. Will cost thousands billions.
- hundred thousands of doctor titulated will drown the country, finding no
jobs, polticians will be mistrusted
-fast development of African and other countries will minimize these
countries's need of importing from China.
-lack of electricity
-lack of raw materials
-lack of oil
-infrastructural needs, too short time to cope with the rural expansion
- more that I don't see

Imagine a mile long train rushing at maximum speed and in front of the
locomotive workers who build new rails. When the two don't match, the train
will run on sand and the stop will be violent.

The chinese are incredible on most. but even the best will be exhausted if
pushed too hard.

I think the nations around will finally get enough and see to their own.
Some have already begun, see the german toll increase of cheap solar panels
from China, as an example.

The US does not have all those problems above. You are quite safe and well
equipped compared to the hundreds million chinese who will never see such a
living like in America.

Inge


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