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April 2008

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From:
Joe Fjelstad <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
TechNet E-Mail Forum <[log in to unmask]>, [log in to unmask]
Date:
Sun, 20 Apr 2008 11:51:05 EDT
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Thanks for the message and link, Michael. Interesting  (sobering?) reading. 
The annual cost numbers cited are likely to rise, I  would be willing to bet.
 
Sounds like Harvey Miller's year 2000 prediction in his monograph  
"Lead-free, Why?) of a price tag of 80 to 100 billion might be  near the mark at the end 
of the day. And then, of course, there will be the  ongoing higher costs for 
the extra energy for baking and reflow and higher  temperature laminates and 
warranty pay outs (which by the way are on the  rise, as I understand according 
to a friend with a son who is an actuary in the  insurance industry) 
 
Sadly WEEE makes RoHS (i.e., lead-free) unnecessary. The justification that  
it makes electronics recycling safer is self-serving in my  opinion. The data 
does not support the claim. Poor recycling  practices for RoHS compliant 
products will be no less hazardous than for those  containing less than 0.5% lead.  
 
 
Wish there really was some environmental benefit to it all to justify the  
cost. (or that I had at least purchase a boat load of tin metal futures...;-)  

Nothing quite like legislated market demand... 
 
I looked out the window. The sun is shining. It is going to be a good  day
 
Thanks agian
 
Best regards, 
Joe  
 
 
In a message dated 4/19/2008 6:33:44 A.M. Pacific Daylight Time,  
[log in to unmask] writes:

Well  FINALLY the results of the survey we (along with Technology
Forecasters...I  actually brought the project to them to be the lead on since
market  research at this scale is their forte, not ours) did for the  Consumer
Electronics Association last fall have been published. See the  article in
Purchasing at  http://www.purchasing.com/article/CA6552729.html.

Just to add a bit to  this report that's missing, we determined that annual
maintenance is a  little above 10% of of the initial cost to comply (which is
the $32.7B  number). So to date it's cost the industry around $40B.

And that's just  EU RoHS...not China RoHS, Korea RoHS, Californy RoHS, or any
other of your  favorite regulations. They're all incremental, of course.

So if you're  working on REACH, track your hours and keep those
receipts...I'm sure we'll  be coming around again to ascertain the cost to
industry of that in a  couple years.

Michael Kirschner
President
Design Chain  Associates, LLC
415.904.8330
--
Design Chain Associates, LLC - Design  Chain Solutions for Competitive 
Advantage  

www.DesignChainAssociates.com
www.ChinaRoHS.com
www.KoreaRoHS.com

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