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February 2006

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Subject:
From:
Brian Ellis <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
(Leadfree Electronics Assembly Forum)
Date:
Mon, 13 Feb 2006 18:11:38 +0200
Content-Type:
text/plain
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text/plain (395 lines)
You sound like Ogden Nash, when he wrote:

They told me it couldn't be done.
With a smile I went right to it,
I tackled that job that couldn't be done
But couldn't do it!

:-)

Brian


Harvey Miller wrote:
> Brian
>
> You have described a plausible but mechanistic scenario that might be
> altered by many factors now imponderable. When electronic equipment
> failure rates start climbing, along with litigation, and bright reporters
> really start to investigate--- new possibilities emerge.
>
> Then there will be a host of exempted equipment categories.
> We'll have a kind of controlled experiment. The minimal result will be
> strenghening the exempion process, extending exemptions to more and more
> categories.
>
> As you point out, the trade and professional institutions caved
> or worse, under fear of being perceived as anti-environmental.  The tin
> industry has poured money into the lead-free
> initiative and will continue to do so.  There are many lead-free
> laws being enacted.  All of these are very impressive negatives for
> reversing lead-free solder course. But none of them reverse the laws of
> physics.
>
>
>
> --- Brian Ellis <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>
>
>>I'm sorry, Harvey, I AM resigned to the inevitability, much as I regret
>>it. I agree with you that non-compliance is ill-treated in the EU, whose
>>workings seem obscure to you. Let me explain the MO of what could
>>happen. Nothing can happen before 1 July 2006, I think you will agree.
>>Let us imagine that manufacturer or importer X puts on the market a
>>lead-soldered product in member-state A which does not have a good
>>control mechanism (ie, is non-compliant). Nothing will happen, until a
>>single unit is transferred to another member-state B who zealously does
>>a control because of no certificate of compliance or a falsified one. He
>>will turn the unit back at the frontier and notify the non-compliance to
>>A who, in turn, should rattle the ribs of X. B will also notify the EU,
>>who will do nothing, at this stage, other than to warn all the other 23
>>states that this problem exists and to enjoin A to do something. At this
>>stage, X will either comply, letting A off the hook or he won't comply.
>>If the latter, any transfer of goods from X to any other member state
>>will receive particular scrutiny. If found to be non-compliant and the
>>goods are rejected a second time, the procedure will be stepped up a
>>notch and the EU will send A a stiff letter telling them to get their
>>finger out and to provide proof that X is compliant to A's law, based on
>>the directive, giving them a delay of 1 year for A to show that they now
>>have the necessary controls in place. If this is not forthcoming, a
>>second, stiffer, letter is sent out giving A 6 months to comply or else.
>>If this does not happen, then the EU prepares a file to take the case
>>before the ECJ. It would be unlikely that the ECJ would have received
>>such a file before 2010 and, as is well-known, the backlog of the ECJ is
>>such that the case will not be heard before 2015. Let's imagine that X
>>and A present a strong argument why they have not complied and the Court
>>says the Directive is stupid (which it is). What do you think will
>>happen? X will continue to use 63/37 for his soldering (if he can find a
>>supplier!) but the 99.9999% of other manufacturers supplying the EU who
>>have complied are not suddenly going to rub their hands together and
>>say, "Ooooh! Let's go back to SnPb!", are they, after 9+ years of
>>compliance? Especially knowing that China, Japan and some US States will
>>have similar laws, by then, and probably elsewhere.
>>
>>If you allow me to mix impossible metaphors, you are tilting at
>>windmills with your head in the sand if you think, for one moment, that
>>lead-free is not a fait accompli in the EU and that you can reverse the
>>situation. It is too late. If the IPC, EIPC and other trade
>>organisations had put their heads together with the learned institutes
>>like the IEE, IEEE etc about 5 or 6 years ago and invested money and
>>resources into combatting the situation, then something may have been
>>achieved, but this did not happen. In fact, these organisations mostly
>>quietly acquiesced (pleonasm!) or even supported it under the pressure
>>of vested interests.
>>
>>As for the WTO, it would be laughable to think that they would bend,
>>knowing that the EU, Japan and China form a powerful camp promoting
>>lead-free solder, along with the countries with a vested interest, such
>>as the tin producers.
>>
>>In short, reason, goodwill, logical arguments or whatever are not going
>>to change a jot, regrettable though it may be.
>>
>>Sorry, but the time has come to accept defeat :-(
>>
>>Best regards,
>>
>>Brian
>>
>>
>>
>>Harvey Miller wrote:
>>
>>>Brian
>>>
>>>You surprise me with your resignation to the "inevitability "
>>>of the enforcement of the lead-free solder provisions of RoHS.
>>>I urge you and all to study the following document:
>>>    Department of Political Science
>>>    November 19 1999, Lund, Sweden
>>>    Author:     Jonas Tallberg
>>>    Title and subtitle:     Making States Comply: The European
>>>Commission, the European Court of Justice, and the Enforcement of the
>>>Internal Market
>>>
>>>Dr. Talberg documents the prevalence of non-compliance with EU
>>>Parliament laws.  You pick one case; he studies many. His point
>>>of view is that non-compliance is a problem, an issue that must be
>>>resolved for the sake of the viability of the European Union.
>>>I believe that, in principle, he is correct, because the world
>>>needs a countervailing force to one superpower.  But lead-free
>>>solder is an exceptional law, above all because it would destroy the
>>>reliability of all electronic equipment.  Recycling as required by
>>>another, more sensible EU law-- WEEE, is the way to separate lead from
>>>people.
>>>
>>>I do not agree with Joe Fjelstad that reason and goodwill will
>>
>>overcome
>>
>>>those political motivations that you so cynically describe.  I think
>>
>>that
>>
>>>the resolution of lead-free solder will be found in realpolitik, its
>>>unworkability, uneforceability,
>>>above all, ite inequity.  Theae are the factors that will force
>>>re-examination of the issue, ultimately.  That may happen in the EU
>>>Pariament, or the European Court of Justice, or the
>>>World Trade Commission, or just the court of public opinion.
>>>
>>>In 1920, the Volstead Act, banning alcoholic beverages, became the
>>
>>18th
>>
>>>amendment to the U.S. constitution, over the President's veto. It was
>>>repealed in 1933.
>>>For 13 years, enforcement was a joke, sapping respect for
>>>all laws, feeding crime.  I do not believe that it will take
>>>13 years for the equally insane ban on lead in electronic solder law
>>
>>to
>>
>>>meet its ultimate fate, death.
>>>
>>>Harvey Miller
>>>
>>>
>>>--- Brian Ellis <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>Joe
>>>>
>>>>You speak in tongues. To use words like "intelligence", "reasoning"
>>
>>and
>>
>>>>"rational" in the same breath as "politicians" (of ANY nation or group
>>>>thereof) is a paradox. To use them with the EU in mind is a downright
>>>>contradiction. Just analyse why someone chooses a career in politics,
>>
>>be
>>
>>>>it as a village councillor or as a president/prime minister. The words
>>>>that spring to mind are "gravy train", "glory", "influence",
>>
>>"respect",
>>
>>>>"money", "corruption". The words farthest from the mind are
>>>>"constituent", "democracy", "honesty", "representation", "people",
>>>>"welfare". I have met many politicians in many countries, some of them
>>>>high-ranking. I would say that their first care is ensuring continuity
>>>>by re-election and thus security. Their second care is nearly always,
>>>>what is in it for me? There may be exceptions, but they are rare
>>
>>birds.
>>
>>>>In the case of EU politicians, they are even more remote from the
>>
>>people
>>
>>>>they purport to represent, they will vote the most outrageous laws,
>>
>>such
>>
>>>>as the maximum curvature of cucumbers (this is not a joke).
>>>>
>>>>This may appear "sad" and cynical, but it is something I have to live
>>>>with in my everyday life. Do you know how many regulatory instances
>>
>>have
>>
>>>>been introduced in the EU? 10 years ago, it was over 80,000, certainly
>>>>doubled by now.
>>>>
>>>>Take the Constitution of the USA. It has 7 articles over 4
>>
>>hand-written
>>
>>>>pages, with 27 subsequent amendments. Take the proposed Constitution
>>
>>of
>>
>>>>the EU, as rejected, rightly, by France and the Netherlands. It is a
>>>>closely-printed book 5 cm thick. Even the very abbreviated summary at
>>>>http://europa.eu.int/constitution/download/oth180604_3_en.pdf is 15
>>>>pages long and tells almost nothing, other than it may be modified by
>>
>>a
>>
>>>>unanimous decision of the EC after consultation and ratification.
>>>>Democracy? All my eye and Betty Martin!
>>>>
>>>>No, I don't believe there will be a blind eye turned to minor
>>>>infractions. Why? Because the ECJ has the power to inflict swingeing
>>>>fines on hundreds of thousands of euros per day on member states that
>>
>>do
>>
>>>>not ensure the directives are adequately enforced. This is a regular
>>>>procedure. For example, a private landfill (small) owner on a Greek
>>>>island did not respect the Greek law promulgated according to a EU
>>>>directive. Greece was fined, I think EUR 50,000/day until they could
>>>>show that the landfill was modifified according to the law or rendered
>>>>inoperational.
>>>>
>>>>Brian
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>Joe Fjelstad wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>In a message dated 2/11/2006 7:52:41 AM Pacific Standard Time,
>>>>>[log in to unmask] writes:
>>>>>
>>>>>Once a  law has been passed, it would require
>>>>>little less than a nuclear bomb to  cause it to be broken up, no
>>>>
>>>>matter
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>how ill-conceived it may  be.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>Hi Brian,
>>>>>
>>>>>That is a sad statement Hopefully there will be an easier
>>>>
>>>>accommodation. It
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>may be that it will just be treated like speed limits in the US  ;-)
>>>>>
>>>>>Still, considering all of the fantastic thinkers and scientists that
>>>>
>>>>Europe
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>has blessed this planet with, I must remain an optimist with the
>>
>>faith
>>
>>>>that
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>science and reason will eventually prevail in one of their most
>>>>
>>>>recognizable
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>birthplaces and homelands. I trust that the genetic heritage of
>>>>
>>>>intelligence
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>and  reasoning cannot really be lost and that we are likely just
>>>>
>>>>presently
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>living in  one of the troughs of the ebb and flow of rational
>>>>
>>>>thinking...  ;-)
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>Very best,
>>>>>Joe
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
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>
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>>>>
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>>>>>Please visit IPC web site
>>>>
>>>>http://www.ipc.org/contentpage.asp?Pageid=4.3.16 for additional
>>>>information, or contact Keach Sasamori at [log in to unmask] or
>>
>>847-615-7100
>>
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>>>>
>>>
> -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> -------------------------------------------------------------------------------Leadfee
>
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>>
>>847-615-7100
>>
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>>>>
>>>
>>>
> -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
> -------------------------------------------------------------------------------Leadfee
>
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>>Please visit IPC web site
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>>ext.2815
>>
>
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