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Subject:
From:
"Stephen R. Gregory" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
TechNet E-Mail Forum.
Date:
Mon, 10 Jan 2000 17:59:47 EST
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Hi Again!

Mark Ross is right, Electronic Buyers News ( http://www.ebnews.com/ ) has a 
few articles...here's a paste of a few paragraphs from one of them...

-Steve Gregory-

Outlook 2000: Passives shortage persists
By Bettyann Liotta Electronic Buyers' News
(01/03/00, 11:52:57 AM EDT)

The wave of strong demand that began to sweep through capacitor and 
SAW-filter supply last year is expected to wash away stock in other portions 
of the passive-component industry in 2000, analysts say. 

Asia's recovery and a growing appetite for parts from several industries, 
particularly communications, will keep inventory low at manufacturers of such 
passive components as resistors, fuses, cable, and certain connectors over 
the next several quarters. 

“Every segment of the electronics market is hot now,” said Richard Schuster, 
president of NIC Components Inc., Melville, N.Y., a subsidiary of Nu Horizons 
Electronics Corp. 

Indeed, NIC Components is actually turning away large orders for 
small-case-size surface-mount tantalum and multilayer ceramic capacitors, 
according to Schuster. 

“Worldwide, there is an approximate 250 million piece-per-month production 
shortfall for tantalum chips, and a shortfall of roughly three billion pieces 
per month for ceramics,” he noted. 

Since several customers have turned to high-capacitance ceramics as well as 
surface-mount aluminum capacitors in place of tantalum products, lead times 
for these products are lengthening, according to Schuster. 

“High-capacitance 10 mF and 22 mF ceramics in the Y5V dielectric are at 30 
weeks,” he said. Chip resistors are also becoming scarce, he added. 

Promising prospects
The latest market upswing will push worldwide sales of capacitors to $12.2 
billion in 2000, up 8.9% from $11.2 billion in 1999, according to research 
firm Frost & Sullivan Inc., Mountain View, Calif. 

“It's going to be a great year for passives makers, especially capacitor and 
resistor makers,” said Dennis Zogbi, president of Paumanok Publications Inc., 
Cary, N.C. “This is real. I don't see any indication of double ordering.” 

Several companies, however, have acknowledged that orders are being inflated 
by anticipated Y2K problems. 

Littelfuse Inc., for example, said that it has started to put customers on 
allocation for certain electronic fuses.

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