I was given the link below to read, and it credibly dicusses another
point of view about "global warming". I cannot just dismiss this paper.
It seems well supported by some prominent researchers and is backed-up
by data. I just wonder what some of you think?
I've pasted the conclusion of the paper which seems to say that global
warming may not be man caused, and might not necessarily be a bad thing.
-Steve Gregory-
http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/ISPM.pdf
The Earth.s climate is an extremely complex system and we must not
understate the
difficulties involved in analyzing it. Despite the many data limitations
and uncertainties,
knowledge of the climate system continues to advance based on improved
and expanding
data sets and improved understanding of meteorological and oceanographic
mechanisms.
The climate in most places has undergone minor changes over the past 200
years,
and the land-based surface temperature record of the past 100 years
exhibits warming
trends in many places. Measurement problems, including uneven sampling,
missing
data and local land-use changes, make interpretation of these trends
difficult. Other,
more stable data sets, such as satellite, radiosonde and ocean
temperatures yield
smaller warming trends. The actual climate change in many locations has
been relatively
small and within the range of known natural variability. There is no
compelling
evidence that dangerous or unprecedented changes are underway.
The available data over the past century can be interpreted within the
framework of
a variety of hypotheses as to cause and mechanisms for the measured
changes. The
hypothesis that greenhouse gas emissions have produced or are capable of
producing
a significant warming of the Earth.s climate since the start of the
industrial era is
credible, and merits continued attention. However, the hypothesis cannot
be proven by
formal theoretical arguments, and the available data allow the
hypothesis to be credibly
disputed.
Arguments for the hypothesis rely on computer simulations, which can
never be
decisive as supporting evidence. The computer models in use are not, by
necessity,
direct calculations of all basic physics but rely upon empirical
approximations for many
of the smaller scale processes of the oceans and atmosphere. They are
tuned to
produce a credible simulation of current global climate statistics, but
this does not
guarantee reliability in future climate regimes. And there are enough
degrees of
freedom in tunable models that simulations cannot serve as supporting
evidence for
any one tuning scheme, such as that associated with a strong effect from
greenhouse
gases.
There is no evidence provided by the IPCC in its Fourth Assessment
Report that the
uncertainty can be formally resolved from first principles, statistical
hypothesis testing
or modeling exercises. Consequently, there will remain an unavoidable
element of
uncertainty as to the extent that humans are contributing to future
climate change, and
indeed whether or not such change is a good or bad thing.
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