Maybe it is the tail wagging the dog, but consumer electronics will continue to drive the industry.  And as long that is true the lowest cost volume process wins - even for lower volume products.

There will be some crossover, but I do tend to doubt that Dean's prediction will come true in 10 years.  There will (hopefuilly) be a lot fewer reflow ovens, but any lower cost option is going to require a major materials breakthrough pretty soon to take over the cell phone sized volumes in a scant 10 years.

Pete

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